Pharmaceutical Forecasting

Population

Population Growth Rate (%)

Incidence Rate/Prevalence Rate (%)

Diagnosis Rate (%)

Diagnosis Growth Rate (%)

Treatment Rate (%)

Treatment Growth Rate (%)

Therapeutic Class Rate (%)

Market Access (%)

Launch Time

Peak Market Share (%)

Time to Peak (Years)

Adoption Curve

Loss of Exclusivity

Generic Erosion Curve

Retained Share (%)

Time to Erode (Years)

Adherence Rate (%)

Units per Patient per Day

Price per Unit (USD)

Price Growth Rate (%) Y-O-Y

New Pharmaceutical Drug Revenue Forecasting Model